The Supermedia AGI/Youtrend favors the center-right. The M5S and Vannacci's Futuro Nazionale plummet.
On the fourth anniversary of the Meloni government's swearing-in at the Quirinale, the polls present an encouraging picture for the majority. According to the AGI/Youtrend Supermedia, based on surveys conducted between October 8 and 21, Brothers of Italy confirms its position as Italy's leading party with 27.9% support, up by more than half a point (+0.6). The center-right coalition as a whole is experiencing a moment of recovery.
On the other side, the 5-Star Movement suffers a significant decline, dropping to 12.1% (-0.7%). Future Nation, the party of General Roberto Vannacci, also fares poorly, losing almost a point and falling to 6.8%. The Democratic Party, the leading opposition party, stands at 20.3% (+0.3%). The Supermedia of coalitions shows the opposition's 'Broad Field' at 44.3% and the center-right at 42.9%.
The polls published today fit into the Italian political landscape born from the September 25, 2022 elections, when a center-right coalition led by Giorgia Meloni won and formed its first government. That legislature, which began exactly four years ago, saw the rise of Brothers of Italy as a dominant force after years in opposition and the scaling back of historic parties like the League and the Five Star Movement.
The current context is characterized by the next electoral deadline, scheduled for 2027, and a heated debate on electoral law reform, which the government is attempting to pass. In this scenario, the polls measure not only preferences for individual parties but also the stability of the two main coalitions ahead of the vote. The emergence of new formations, such as National Future, and their affiliation with the main coalitions adds further dynamism to the picture, making each poll an important indicator of future political balances.
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