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Politica
November 2, 2026

La7 Poll: The center-left extends its lead over the center-right, Vannacci grows.

La7 Poll: The center-left extends its lead over the center-right, Vannacci grows.
SWG survey: progressive coalition at 45%, government majority at 43.8%. Vannacci's National Future gains support.
The news

The Swg survey for Tg La7, published on November 2, 2026, shows the center-left gaining ground over the center-right in voting intentions. The progressive coalition gains 0.1% and stands at 45%, while the majority government led by Giorgia Meloni loses 0.3%, dropping to 43.8%.

Among the parties, Brothers of Italy remains in first place but falls 0.3% to 29%. The Democratic Party is stable at 20.6%, while the 5-Star Movement gains 0.2%, reaching 12.6%. Forza Italia loses 0.2% (7.2%), and the League advances by 0.1% (5.5%). Outside the coalitions, Roberto Vannacci's Futuro Nazionale grows by 0.2% and reaches 5.8%, surpassing government parties like the League.


The context

The Italian political landscape is heating up ahead of the next general elections, whose date is not yet official but which Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has suggested would be the natural end of the current legislature. The competition is primarily between two major coalitions: the governing center-right (Brothers of Italy, League, Forza Italia, We Moderates) and the so-called 'broad field' of the center-left, which brings together the Democratic Party, the Five Star Movement, the Green-Left Alliance, and centrist forces like Italia Viva and +Europa.

The greatest element of novelty and uncertainty is represented by the growth of Futuro Nazionale, the party founded by former General Roberto Vannacci. Its rise, which began in polls at the end of summer 2026 when it surpassed Forza Italia, is creating a 'conundrum' for the center-right. According to other surveys, if the center-right were to exclude Vannacci from the coalition, it would risk losing the elections to the 'broad field.' His inclusion, on the other hand, would guarantee a victory. This explains why his growth, even if modest in this poll, is a politically significant factor that could determine the future balance of power.

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